How to Find a Black Cat in a Coal Cellar: The Truth about Sports Tipsters
From 2001 to 2015 independently verified over 300 sports betting advisory services and over 200,000 betting tips. [See how the site used to look.] This project has now finished, but I may return in the future with something similar. In 2012 I published the story of this verification work. My book examines how good online sports betting tipsters really are, and how we can know if any of them can genuinely beat the bookmaker through skill and not luck. Don't buy another betting tip until you read it.
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Squares & Sharps, Suckers & Sharks: The Science, Psychology & Philosophy of Gambling
People have been gambling, for money, entertainment, escape and a desire to win, for as long as history itself. However, these are secondary considerations to a craving for a sense of control over uncertainty, a sense that is almost always illusory. To find out why, in my latest book I explore the science of chance and probability, the difference between expectation and utility, the irrationality of human beings, evolutionary perspectives on gambling, deciphering luck from skill, the wisdom of crowds and much more.
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Fixed Odds Sports Betting: Statistical Forecasting & Risk Management
In my first book I examine, through various numerical techniques, how fixed odds punters may learn to beat the bookmaker, protect profits through a sensible approach to risk management, and turn high-risk gambling into a form of low-risk investment. Topics include value betting, rating systems, profitability and risk, singles vs multiples, staking plans and money management, the favourite-longshot bias and significance testing.
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